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Canyon, ID · ZIP 83676 · Census Tract 16027022200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$365K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$427K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$516K
+26% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $164K | $198K | $189K | $208K | $264K | $272K | $295K | $351K | $394K | $409K | $418K | $433K | $427K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$248,144 | -$244,944 | -$210,244 | -$219,544 | -$200,144 | -$144,144 | -$136,844 | -$113,544 | -$57,344 | -$14,544 | +$9,122 | +$24,029 | +$18,385 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.7% | -60.0% | -51.5% | -53.7% | -49.0% | -35.3% | -33.5% | -27.8% | -14.0% | -3.6% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $376K | $375K | $365K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $491K | $516K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$376K to $471K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$365K to $516K
35.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | +5.8% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021103) | $419K | $461K | +9.9% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021005) | $399K | $428K | +7.3% | |
| Caldwell | $415K | $442K | +6.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020904) | $419K | $439K | +4.9% | |
| Parma | $398K | $417K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | +5.8% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020403) | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Middleton | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020405) | $330K | $389K | +17.8% | |
| Caldwell | $428K | $489K | +14.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 022400) | $699K | $796K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | $151K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020300) | $274K | $299K | $156K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020506) | $296K | $332K | $149K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020200) | $263K | $281K | $146K | |
| Nampa (Tract 021006) | $237K | $259K | $125K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020404) | $212K | $232K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Canyon, ID · ZIP 83676 · Census Tract 16027022200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$365K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$427K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$516K
+26% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $164K | $198K | $189K | $208K | $264K | $272K | $295K | $351K | $394K | $409K | $418K | $433K | $427K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$248,144 | -$244,944 | -$210,244 | -$219,544 | -$200,144 | -$144,144 | -$136,844 | -$113,544 | -$57,344 | -$14,544 | +$9,122 | +$24,029 | +$18,385 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.7% | -60.0% | -51.5% | -53.7% | -49.0% | -35.3% | -33.5% | -27.8% | -14.0% | -3.6% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $376K | $375K | $365K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $491K | $516K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$376K to $471K
22.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$365K to $516K
35.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | +5.8% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021103) | $419K | $461K | +9.9% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021005) | $399K | $428K | +7.3% | |
| Caldwell | $415K | $442K | +6.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020904) | $419K | $439K | +4.9% | |
| Parma | $398K | $417K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | +5.8% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020403) | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Middleton | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020405) | $330K | $389K | +17.8% | |
| Caldwell | $428K | $489K | +14.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 022400) | $699K | $796K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | $151K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020300) | $274K | $299K | $156K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020506) | $296K | $332K | $149K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020200) | $263K | $281K | $146K | |
| Nampa (Tract 021006) | $237K | $259K | $125K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020404) | $212K | $232K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
