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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Canyon, ID · ZIP 83686 · Census Tract 16027022400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$704K
Downside (P10)
$595K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$796K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+56% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $217K | $229K | $250K | $266K | $295K | $340K | $367K | $491K | $594K | $677K | $704K | $716K | $761K | $796K | $706K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | +9.2% | +6.3% | +10.9% | +15.2% | +8.1% | +33.6% | +21.0% | +14.0% | +4.0% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +4.6% | -11.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $591K | $594K | $595K | $628K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $864K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $815K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$591K to $864K
38.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$628K to $815K
26.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $699K | $796K | +13.9% | |
| Middleton (Tract 021906) | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Huston (Tract 022302) | $680K | $766K | +12.7% | |
| Huston (Tract 022303) | $810K | $851K | +5.1% | |
| Nampa | $602K | $625K | +3.8% | |
| Middleton (Tract 021905) | $605K | $609K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $699K | $796K | +13.9% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020403) | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Middleton | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020405) | $330K | $389K | +17.8% | |
| Caldwell (Tract 021801) | $428K | $489K | +14.4% | |
| Caldwell (Tract 021300) | $257K | $292K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $699K | $796K | $505K | |
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | $151K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020506) | $296K | $332K | $149K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020200) | $263K | $281K | $146K | |
| Nampa (Tract 021006) | $237K | $259K | $125K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020404) | $212K | $232K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.