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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Canyon, ID · ZIP 83687 · Census Tract 16027020403 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$372K
Downside (P10)
$333K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$427K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$550K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $196K | $268K | $350K | $359K | $372K | $387K | $418K | $427K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +36.6% | +30.4% | +2.5% | +3.6% | +4.2% | +8.0% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $323K | $308K | $333K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $452K | $532K | $550K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$323K to $452K
33.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$333K to $550K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020601) | $373K | $423K | +13.3% | |
| Middleton | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021007) | $369K | $401K | +8.6% | |
| Caldwell | $369K | $397K | +7.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021004) | $366K | $382K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Middleton | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020405) | $330K | $389K | +17.8% | |
| Caldwell (Tract 021801) | $428K | $489K | +14.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 022400) | $699K | $796K | +13.9% | |
| Caldwell (Tract 021300) | $257K | $292K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa | $360K | $427K | $217K | |
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | $151K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020506) | $296K | $332K | $149K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020200) | $263K | $281K | $146K | |
| Nampa (Tract 021006) | $237K | $259K | $125K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020404) | $212K | $232K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.