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Canyon, ID · ZIP 83651 · Census Tract 16027021007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$371K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$401K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$528K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $231K | $294K | $340K | $361K | $371K | $376K | $391K | $401K |
| YoY Change | +20.0% | +27.3% | +15.8% | +6.2% | +2.6% | +1.5% | +4.0% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $315K | $314K | $317K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $458K | $492K | $528K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$315K to $458K
38.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $528K
52.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa · 83651 · (Tract 210.7) | $369K | $401K | +8.6% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020601) | $373K | $423K | +13.3% | |
| Middleton | $372K | $418K | +12.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020503) | $364K | $406K | +11.5% | |
| Caldwell | $369K | $397K | +7.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 021004) | $366K | $382K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa · 83651 · (Tract 210.7) | $369K | $401K | +8.6% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020403) | $360K | $427K | +18.6% | |
| Middleton | $761K | $899K | +18.1% | |
| Nampa (Tract 020405) | $330K | $389K | +17.8% | |
| Caldwell | $428K | $489K | +14.4% | |
| Nampa (Tract 022400) | $699K | $796K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nampa · 83651 · (Tract 210.7) | $369K | $401K | $212K | |
| Wilder | $403K | $427K | $151K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020506) | $296K | $332K | $149K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020200) | $263K | $281K | $146K | |
| Nampa (Tract 021006) | $237K | $259K | $125K | |
| Nampa (Tract 020404) | $212K | $232K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.