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Bannock, ID · Census Tract 16005280000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.54M
Downside (P10)
$981K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.72M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.37M
-7% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to -7%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.5M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$155,426 | -$510,918 | -$749,257 | -$825,223 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.1% | -20.1% | -29.5% | -32.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $981K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$1.5M to $3.0M
63.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$981K to $2.4M
80.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | -32.4% | |
| Pocatello | $581K | $634K | +9.3% | |
| Bannock (Tract 080006) | $2.34M | $1.76M | -24.8% | |
| Bannock (Tract 360001) | $3.46M | $2.47M | -28.8% | |
| Bannock (Tract 680008) | $3.65M | $2.41M | -34.0% | |
| Bannock (Tract 240008) | $3.01M | $1.91M | -36.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | -32.4% | |
| Chubbuck | $318K | $358K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $368K | $411K | +11.6% | |
| South Bannock | $352K | $390K | +10.7% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | +9.9% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $581K | $634K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | $1.39M | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $253K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $216K | $222K | $103K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000700) | $331K | $333K | $81K | |
| South Bannock | $317K | $335K | $79K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $220K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bannock, ID · Census Tract 16005280000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.54M
Downside (P10)
$981K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.72M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.37M
-7% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to -7%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.5M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$155,426 | -$510,918 | -$749,257 | -$825,223 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.1% | -20.1% | -29.5% | -32.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $981K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.8M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$1.5M to $3.0M
63.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$981K to $2.4M
80.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | -32.4% | |
| Pocatello | $581K | $634K | +9.3% | |
| Bannock (Tract 080006) | $2.34M | $1.76M | -24.8% | |
| Bannock (Tract 360001) | $3.46M | $2.47M | -28.8% | |
| Bannock (Tract 680008) | $3.65M | $2.41M | -34.0% | |
| Bannock (Tract 240008) | $3.01M | $1.91M | -36.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | -32.4% | |
| Chubbuck | $318K | $358K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $368K | $411K | +11.6% | |
| South Bannock | $352K | $390K | +10.7% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | +9.9% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $581K | $634K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280000 | $2.54M | $1.72M | $1.39M | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $253K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $216K | $222K | $103K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000700) | $331K | $333K | $81K | |
| South Bannock | $317K | $335K | $79K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $220K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
