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Bannock, ID · ZIP 83204 · Census Tract 16005981800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$352K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$390K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$510K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $184K | $273K | $270K | $175K | $269K | $204K | $301K | $339K | $352K | $365K | $378K | $390K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$168,009 | -$79,609 | -$82,209 | -$177,409 | -$83,609 | -$148,209 | -$51,009 | -$13,709 | +$12,878 | +$25,834 | +$37,838 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -22.6% | -23.3% | -50.3% | -23.7% | -42.1% | -14.5% | -3.9% | +3.7% | +7.3% | +10.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $311K | $297K | $303K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $435K | $475K | $510K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$311K to $435K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$303K to $510K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000400) | $359K | $395K | +9.9% | |
| Chubbuck | $328K | $358K | +9.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000700) | $325K | $348K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000500) | $465K | $526K | +13.1% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $571K | $634K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | $207K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | $123K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $251K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bannock, ID · ZIP 83204 · Census Tract 16005981800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$352K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$390K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$510K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $184K | $273K | $270K | $175K | $269K | $204K | $301K | $339K | $352K | $365K | $378K | $390K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$168,009 | -$79,609 | -$82,209 | -$177,409 | -$83,609 | -$148,209 | -$51,009 | -$13,709 | +$12,878 | +$25,834 | +$37,838 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -22.6% | -23.3% | -50.3% | -23.7% | -42.1% | -14.5% | -3.9% | +3.7% | +7.3% | +10.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $311K | $297K | $303K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $435K | $475K | $510K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$311K to $435K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$303K to $510K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000400) | $359K | $395K | +9.9% | |
| Chubbuck | $328K | $358K | +9.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000700) | $325K | $348K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000500) | $465K | $526K | +13.1% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $571K | $634K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | $207K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | $123K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $251K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
