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Bannock, ID · ZIP 83202 · Census Tract 16005940000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$191K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$319K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $142K | $125K | $139K | $140K | $144K | $140K | $153K | $161K | $188K | $186K | $191K | $197K | $202K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$49,021 | -$65,721 | -$52,021 | -$50,821 | -$46,321 | -$50,721 | -$37,821 | -$29,521 | -$2,421 | -$4,821 | +$5,980 | +$11,653 | +$7,924 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.7% | -34.5% | -27.3% | -26.6% | -24.3% | -26.6% | -19.8% | -15.5% | -1.3% | -2.5% | +3.1% | +6.1% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $154K | $153K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $246K | $265K | $319K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$156K to $246K
45.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $319K
83.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | +4.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | +10.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | +8.9% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001300) | $213K | $224K | +5.0% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | +5.0% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000800) | $221K | $221K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | +4.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000500) | $465K | $526K | +13.1% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $571K | $634K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | $166K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | $123K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $251K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bannock, ID · ZIP 83202 · Census Tract 16005940000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$191K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$319K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $142K | $125K | $139K | $140K | $144K | $140K | $153K | $161K | $188K | $186K | $191K | $197K | $202K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$49,021 | -$65,721 | -$52,021 | -$50,821 | -$46,321 | -$50,721 | -$37,821 | -$29,521 | -$2,421 | -$4,821 | +$5,980 | +$11,653 | +$7,924 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.7% | -34.5% | -27.3% | -26.6% | -24.3% | -26.6% | -19.8% | -15.5% | -1.3% | -2.5% | +3.1% | +6.1% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $154K | $153K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $246K | $265K | $319K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$156K to $246K
45.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $319K
83.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | +4.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | +10.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | +8.9% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001300) | $213K | $224K | +5.0% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | +5.0% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000800) | $221K | $221K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | +4.6% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001102) | $356K | $411K | +15.3% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000500) | $465K | $526K | +13.1% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000302) | $351K | $395K | +12.6% | |
| South Bannock | $351K | $390K | +11.2% | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001104) | $571K | $634K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Hall | $190K | $199K | $166K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001603) | $232K | $255K | $123K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 000600) | $217K | $236K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001601) | $172K | $189K | $121K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001500) | $251K | $265K | $111K | |
| Pocatello (Tract 001400) | $212K | $222K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
