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Orange, FL · ZIP 32789 · Census Tract 12095015702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$656K
Downside (P10)
$565K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$710K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$923K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $256K | $287K | $291K | $329K | $331K | $382K | $433K | $446K | $518K | $651K | $656K | $675K | $698K | $710K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$399,866 | -$368,866 | -$365,066 | -$326,466 | -$324,866 | -$273,866 | -$222,366 | -$209,966 | -$138,066 | -$4,766 | +$19,527 | +$42,640 | +$54,815 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.0% | -56.3% | -55.7% | -49.8% | -49.5% | -41.8% | -33.9% | -32.0% | -21.1% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $584K | $580K | $565K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $782K | $856K | $923K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$584K to $782K
29.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$565K to $923K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Maitland | $662K | $747K | +12.8% | |
| Southwest Orange | $661K | $732K | +10.7% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 015901) | $628K | $690K | +10.0% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 016001) | $680K | $733K | +7.8% | |
| Orlando | $680K | $729K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | $358K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32789 · Census Tract 12095015702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$656K
Downside (P10)
$565K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$710K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$923K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $256K | $287K | $291K | $329K | $331K | $382K | $433K | $446K | $518K | $651K | $656K | $675K | $698K | $710K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$399,866 | -$368,866 | -$365,066 | -$326,466 | -$324,866 | -$273,866 | -$222,366 | -$209,966 | -$138,066 | -$4,766 | +$19,527 | +$42,640 | +$54,815 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -61.0% | -56.3% | -55.7% | -49.8% | -49.5% | -41.8% | -33.9% | -32.0% | -21.1% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $584K | $580K | $565K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $782K | $856K | $923K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$584K to $782K
29.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$565K to $923K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Maitland | $662K | $747K | +12.8% | |
| Southwest Orange | $661K | $732K | +10.7% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 015901) | $628K | $690K | +10.0% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 016001) | $680K | $733K | +7.8% | |
| Orlando | $680K | $729K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Park · 32789 · (Tract 157.2) | $658K | $710K | $358K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
