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Orange, FL · ZIP 32822 · Census Tract 12095013511 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$119K
Downside (P10)
$93K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$130K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$184K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $57K | $55K | $41K | $37K | $46K | $53K | $58K | $104K | $118K | $119K | $122K | $130K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,510 | -$62,010 | -$63,810 | -$77,810 | -$82,010 | -$72,710 | -$66,110 | -$61,210 | -$15,310 | -$1,510 | +$2,935 | +$11,227 | +$11,247 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.6% | -52.1% | -53.6% | -65.3% | -68.9% | -61.0% | -55.5% | -51.4% | -12.9% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +9.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $96K | $97K | $93K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $159K | $170K | $184K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$96K to $159K
51.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$93K to $184K
69.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| University | $165K | $185K | +11.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | +5.7% | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Pine Hills | $246K | $274K | $100K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32822 · Census Tract 12095013511 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$119K
Downside (P10)
$93K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$130K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$184K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $57K | $55K | $41K | $37K | $46K | $53K | $58K | $104K | $118K | $119K | $122K | $130K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,510 | -$62,010 | -$63,810 | -$77,810 | -$82,010 | -$72,710 | -$66,110 | -$61,210 | -$15,310 | -$1,510 | +$2,935 | +$11,227 | +$11,247 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.6% | -52.1% | -53.6% | -65.3% | -68.9% | -61.0% | -55.5% | -51.4% | -12.9% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +9.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $96K | $97K | $93K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $159K | $170K | $184K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$96K to $159K
51.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$93K to $184K
69.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| University | $165K | $185K | +11.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | +5.7% | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Pine Hills | $246K | $274K | $100K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
