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Orange, FL · ZIP 32817 · Census Tract 12095016503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$381K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$643K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $170K | $185K | $205K | $235K | $273K | $287K | $318K | $366K | $398K | $409K | $430K | $456K | $491K | $412K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$246,946 | -$239,146 | -$223,846 | -$203,646 | -$174,146 | -$135,646 | -$122,246 | -$90,846 | -$42,646 | -$11,346 | +$21,295 | +$46,740 | +$81,643 | +$3,378 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.4% | -58.5% | -54.7% | -49.8% | -42.6% | -33.2% | -29.9% | -22.2% | -10.4% | -2.8% | +5.2% | +11.4% | +20.0% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $371K | $364K | $381K | $370K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $515K | $569K | $643K | $466K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$371K to $515K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$370K to $466K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Conway | $411K | $485K | +17.8% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $407K | $475K | +16.7% | |
| East Orange | $409K | $472K | +15.3% | |
| Union Park | $407K | $449K | +10.3% | |
| Orlando | $408K | $440K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% | |
| Conway | $411K | $485K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | $263K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32817 · Census Tract 12095016503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$381K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$643K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $170K | $185K | $205K | $235K | $273K | $287K | $318K | $366K | $398K | $409K | $430K | $456K | $491K | $412K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$246,946 | -$239,146 | -$223,846 | -$203,646 | -$174,146 | -$135,646 | -$122,246 | -$90,846 | -$42,646 | -$11,346 | +$21,295 | +$46,740 | +$81,643 | +$3,378 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.4% | -58.5% | -54.7% | -49.8% | -42.6% | -33.2% | -29.9% | -22.2% | -10.4% | -2.8% | +5.2% | +11.4% | +20.0% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $371K | $364K | $381K | $370K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $515K | $569K | $643K | $466K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$371K to $515K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$370K to $466K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Conway | $411K | $485K | +17.8% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $407K | $475K | +16.7% | |
| East Orange | $409K | $472K | +15.3% | |
| Union Park | $407K | $449K | +10.3% | |
| Orlando | $408K | $440K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% | |
| Conway | $411K | $485K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | $263K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
