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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Orange, FL · ZIP 32817 · Census Tract 12095016504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$377K
Downside (P10)
$333K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$413K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $167K | $184K | $201K | $209K | $234K | $232K | $279K | $298K | $359K | $377K | $387K | $401K | $413K |
| YoY Change | +7.1% | +10.1% | +9.5% | +4.0% | +11.6% | -0.8% | +20.5% | +6.8% | +20.2% | +5.1% | +2.8% | +3.4% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $328K | $333K | $333K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $447K | $490K | $530K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$328K to $447K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$333K to $530K
47.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017006) | $381K | $442K | +15.8% | |
| Union Park | $379K | $423K | +11.5% | |
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017011) | $369K | $402K | +8.9% | |
| Alafaya | $384K | $408K | +6.3% | |
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017013) | $379K | $391K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meadow Woods | $437K | $517K | +18.4% | |
| Alafaya | $346K | $402K | +16.2% | |
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017006) | $381K | $442K | +15.8% | |
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017023) | $147K | $170K | +15.7% | |
| Southwest Orange (Tract 017022) | $180K | $208K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Ridge (Tract 016907) | $227K | $233K | $124K | |
| Oak Ridge (Tract 016904) | $289K | $307K | $121K | |
| Southwest Orange | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Union Park | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando | $119K | $128K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.