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Orange, FL · ZIP 32822 · Census Tract 12095016733 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$290K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$428K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $129K | $150K | $145K | $157K | $188K | $198K | $229K | $254K | $287K | $284K | $289K | $282K | $290K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,677 | -$155,077 | -$134,677 | -$138,977 | -$127,477 | -$96,077 | -$86,277 | -$55,777 | -$30,677 | +$2,424 | +$4,389 | -$2,001 | +$5,417 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.3% | -54.6% | -47.4% | -48.9% | -44.8% | -33.8% | -30.3% | -19.6% | -10.8% | +0.9% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $226K | $223K | $225K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $371K | $397K | $428K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$226K to $371K
50.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$225K to $428K
70.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | +0.7% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014705) | $281K | $321K | +14.5% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016713) | $281K | $315K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Hills | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016724) | $279K | $290K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | +0.7% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | $203K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32822 · Census Tract 12095016733 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$290K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$428K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $129K | $150K | $145K | $157K | $188K | $198K | $229K | $254K | $287K | $284K | $289K | $282K | $290K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,677 | -$155,077 | -$134,677 | -$138,977 | -$127,477 | -$96,077 | -$86,277 | -$55,777 | -$30,677 | +$2,424 | +$4,389 | -$2,001 | +$5,417 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.3% | -54.6% | -47.4% | -48.9% | -44.8% | -33.8% | -30.3% | -19.6% | -10.8% | +0.9% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +1.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $226K | $223K | $225K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $371K | $397K | $428K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$226K to $371K
50.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$225K to $428K
70.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | +0.7% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014705) | $281K | $321K | +14.5% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016713) | $281K | $315K | +12.4% | |
| Pine Hills | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016724) | $279K | $290K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | +0.7% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Park | $288K | $290K | $203K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
