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Orange, FL · ZIP 34761 · Census Tract 12095015006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$357K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $236K | $254K | $291K | $319K | $353K | $357K | $367K | $384K | $392K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,898 | -$103,198 | -$66,198 | -$38,198 | -$4,798 | +$9,825 | +$26,624 | +$34,932 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.1% | -28.9% | -18.5% | -10.7% | -1.3% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $269K | $290K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $422K | $457K | $493K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$276K to $422K
39.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $493K
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013701) | $356K | $416K | +17.0% | |
| Pine Hills | $354K | $405K | +14.3% | |
| Union Park | $360K | $390K | +8.4% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014202) | $355K | $384K | +8.0% | |
| Maitland | $361K | $370K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | $202K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 34761 · Census Tract 12095015006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$357K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $236K | $254K | $291K | $319K | $353K | $357K | $367K | $384K | $392K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,898 | -$103,198 | -$66,198 | -$38,198 | -$4,798 | +$9,825 | +$26,624 | +$34,932 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.1% | -28.9% | -18.5% | -10.7% | -1.3% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $276K | $269K | $290K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $422K | $457K | $493K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$276K to $422K
39.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $493K
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013701) | $356K | $416K | +17.0% | |
| Pine Hills | $354K | $405K | +14.3% | |
| Union Park | $360K | $390K | +8.4% | |
| Orlando (Tract 014202) | $355K | $384K | +8.0% | |
| Maitland | $361K | $370K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | +9.8% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $358K | $392K | $202K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
