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Orange, FL · ZIP 32809 · Census Tract 12095014201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$318K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$348K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$468K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $194K | $235K | $273K | $298K | $318K | $323K | $332K | $348K | $313K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,626 | -$124,326 | -$83,226 | -$45,326 | -$19,926 | +$5,143 | +$13,430 | +$29,772 | -$5,198 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -39.1% | -26.2% | -14.2% | -6.3% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +9.4% | -1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $275K | $275K | $277K | $276K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $417K | $414K | $468K | $347K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$275K to $417K
43.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$276K to $347K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | +13.5% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Union Park | $310K | $341K | +10.0% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015202) | $314K | $341K | +8.6% | |
| Ocoee | $315K | $341K | +8.1% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015204) | $314K | $332K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | +13.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | $191K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32809 · Census Tract 12095014201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$318K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$348K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$468K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $194K | $235K | $273K | $298K | $318K | $323K | $332K | $348K | $313K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,626 | -$124,326 | -$83,226 | -$45,326 | -$19,926 | +$5,143 | +$13,430 | +$29,772 | -$5,198 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -39.1% | -26.2% | -14.2% | -6.3% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +9.4% | -1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $275K | $275K | $277K | $276K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $417K | $414K | $468K | $347K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$275K to $417K
43.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$276K to $347K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | +13.5% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Union Park | $310K | $341K | +10.0% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015202) | $314K | $341K | +8.6% | |
| Ocoee | $315K | $341K | +8.1% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015204) | $314K | $332K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | +13.5% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Lake | $306K | $348K | $191K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
