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Ventura, CA · ZIP 91320 · Census Tract 06111005908 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$932K
Downside (P10)
$771K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.00M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.37M
+47% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $560K | $579K | $598K | $621K | $636K | $649K | $683K | $835K | $874K | $908K | $932K | $961K | $986K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | +3.4% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +22.3% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +2.6% | +3.1% | +2.7% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $817K | $808K | $771K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$817K to $1.22M
41.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$771K to $1.37M
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Newbury Park · (Tract 59.8) | $918K | $1.00M | +9.3% | |
| Simi Valley (Tract 008402) | $932K | $1.06M | +14.1% | |
| Simi Valley (Tract 008502) | $926K | $1.06M | +14.0% | |
| Thousand Oaks (Tract 005901) | $936K | $1.00M | +7.2% | |
| Thousand Oaks (Tract 007405) | $926K | $980K | +5.9% | |
| Thousand Oaks (Tract 006800) | $936K | $975K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Newbury Park · (Tract 59.8) | $918K | $1.00M | +9.3% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks · Newbury Park · (Tract 59.8) | $918K | $1.00M | $601K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.