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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ventura, CA · ZIP 91360 · Census Tract 06111006800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$941K
Downside (P10)
$765K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$975K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.29M
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $501K | $551K | $601K | $627K | $652K | $667K | $695K | $802K | $892K | $928K | $941K | $943K | $976K | $975K | $963K |
| YoY Change | +10.0% | +9.1% | +4.3% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +15.4% | +11.2% | +4.1% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +3.5% | -0.1% | -1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $765K | $813K | $765K | $860K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$765K to $1.13M
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$860K to $1.08M
23.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks | $936K | $975K | +4.1% | |
| Simi Valley (Tract 007506) | $943K | $1.10M | +16.4% | |
| Simi Valley (Tract 008402) | $932K | $1.06M | +14.1% | |
| Thousand Oaks (Tract 005803) | $941K | $1.06M | +12.2% | |
| Thousand Oaks (Tract 005901) | $936K | $1.00M | +7.2% | |
| Oxnard | $944K | $958K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks | $936K | $975K | +4.1% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thousand Oaks | $936K | $975K | $521K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.