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Sutter, CA · ZIP 95993 · Census Tract 06101050501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$551K
Downside (P10)
$438K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$601K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$860K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $218K | $222K | $250K | $262K | $270K | $292K | $323K | $383K | $457K | $543K | $551K | $560K | $577K | $601K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$333,391 | -$328,691 | -$300,991 | -$288,791 | -$280,991 | -$258,891 | -$228,191 | -$168,391 | -$94,391 | -$7,691 | +$9,161 | +$26,259 | +$49,940 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.5% | -59.7% | -54.6% | -52.4% | -51.0% | -47.0% | -41.4% | -30.6% | -17.1% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +9.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $463K | $441K | $438K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $691K | $778K | $860K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$463K to $691K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$438K to $860K
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | +8.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050601) | $485K | $546K | +12.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050603) | $477K | $537K | +12.5% | |
| Yuba City Southwest | $515K | $572K | +11.1% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050402) | $467K | $496K | +6.1% | |
| South Sutter | $601K | $636K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | +8.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050504) | $458K | $529K | +15.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050403) | $433K | $498K | +14.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050302) | $351K | $402K | +14.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050301) | $441K | $496K | +12.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050601) | $485K | $546K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | $422K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050102) | $370K | $414K | $221K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050202) | $335K | $364K | $205K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050201) | $300K | $329K | $194K | |
| Live Oak | $328K | $355K | $181K | |
| Meridian-Robbins | $369K | $415K | $165K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sutter, CA · ZIP 95993 · Census Tract 06101050501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$551K
Downside (P10)
$438K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$601K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$860K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $218K | $222K | $250K | $262K | $270K | $292K | $323K | $383K | $457K | $543K | $551K | $560K | $577K | $601K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$333,391 | -$328,691 | -$300,991 | -$288,791 | -$280,991 | -$258,891 | -$228,191 | -$168,391 | -$94,391 | -$7,691 | +$9,161 | +$26,259 | +$49,940 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.5% | -59.7% | -54.6% | -52.4% | -51.0% | -47.0% | -41.4% | -30.6% | -17.1% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +9.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $463K | $441K | $438K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $691K | $778K | $860K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$463K to $691K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$438K to $860K
70.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | +8.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050601) | $485K | $546K | +12.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050603) | $477K | $537K | +12.5% | |
| Yuba City Southwest | $515K | $572K | +11.1% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050402) | $467K | $496K | +6.1% | |
| South Sutter | $601K | $636K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | +8.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050504) | $458K | $529K | +15.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050403) | $433K | $498K | +14.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050302) | $351K | $402K | +14.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050301) | $441K | $496K | +12.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050601) | $485K | $546K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $553K | $601K | $422K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050102) | $370K | $414K | $221K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050202) | $335K | $364K | $205K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050201) | $300K | $329K | $194K | |
| Live Oak | $328K | $355K | $181K | |
| Meridian-Robbins | $369K | $415K | $165K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
