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Sutter, CA · ZIP 95991 · Census Tract 06101050102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$379K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$414K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$546K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $136K | $155K | $170K | $178K | $197K | $222K | $244K | $265K | $368K | $379K | $382K | $395K | $414K | $382K |
| YoY Change | +7.2% | +14.0% | +9.6% | +4.4% | +11.2% | +12.6% | +9.9% | +8.4% | +38.8% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +3.4% | +4.9% | -7.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $333K | $326K | $325K | $340K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $483K | $546K | $425K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$333K to $472K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$340K to $425K
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $370K | $414K | +11.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050302) | $351K | $402K | +14.7% | |
| Meridian-Robbins | $369K | $415K | +12.3% | |
| Live Oak | $425K | $470K | +10.6% | |
| Sutter | $428K | $466K | +8.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050202) | $335K | $364K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $370K | $414K | +11.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050504) | $458K | $529K | +15.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050403) | $433K | $498K | +14.9% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050302) | $351K | $402K | +14.7% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050301) | $441K | $496K | +12.6% | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050601) | $485K | $546K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuba City | $370K | $414K | $221K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050503) | $443K | $456K | $223K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050202) | $335K | $364K | $205K | |
| Yuba City (Tract 050201) | $300K | $329K | $194K | |
| Live Oak | $328K | $355K | $181K | |
| Meridian-Robbins | $369K | $415K | $165K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.