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Shasta, CA · ZIP 96001 · Census Tract 06089010500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$377K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$422K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$557K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $186K | $212K | $256K | $267K | $270K | $278K | $314K | $340K | $368K | $377K | $394K | $410K | $422K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +13.6% | +20.9% | +4.5% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +12.7% | +8.5% | +8.1% | +2.4% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $313K | $308K | $312K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $477K | $496K | $557K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$313K to $477K
41.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $557K
58.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $377K | $422K | +12.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 011002) | $374K | $412K | +10.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 012102) | $383K | $413K | +8.0% | |
| Shasta Lake | $383K | $413K | +7.9% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 011100) | $367K | $397K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $377K | $422K | +12.1% | |
| Redding (Tract 010200) | $330K | $395K | +19.8% | |
| Redding (Tract 011401) | $396K | $460K | +16.2% | |
| Redding (Tract 011209) | $347K | $403K | +16.0% | |
| Redding (Tract 010400) | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| Redding (Tract 012200) | $275K | $317K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redding | $377K | $422K | $245K | |
| Redding (Tract 010806) | $158K | $177K | $114K | |
| Redding (Tract 010803) | $387K | $417K | $146K | |
| Redding (Tract 010100) | $251K | $271K | $148K | |
| Redding (Tract 011300) | $290K | $323K | $154K | |
| Central Shasta | $276K | $295K | $162K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.