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Riverside, CA · ZIP 92503 · Census Tract 06065031602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$451K
Downside (P10)
$402K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$505K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$668K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $203K | $205K | $241K | $273K | $304K | $309K | $320K | $356K | $412K | $439K | $451K | $464K | $487K | $505K | $456K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | +17.2% | +13.5% | +11.4% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +11.2% | +15.9% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +2.9% | +5.0% | +3.7% | -9.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $407K | $402K | $404K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $558K | $602K | $668K | $523K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$405K to $558K
33.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$404K to $523K
26.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverside | $450K | $505K | +12.2% | |
| Moreno Valley | $452K | $532K | +17.7% | |
| Perris | $450K | $521K | +15.7% | |
| San Gorgonio Pass | $452K | $513K | +13.6% | |
| Murrieta (Tract 043279) | $451K | $475K | +5.2% | |
| Murrieta (Tract 043210) | $452K | $473K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverside | $450K | $505K | +12.2% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside (Tract 050901) | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 040901) | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverside | $450K | $505K | $266K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045618) | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045619) | $67K | $75K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.