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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Riverside, CA · ZIP 92509 · Census Tract 06065040204 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$401K
Downside (P10)
$352K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$434K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$573K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $147K | $167K | $191K | $220K | $239K | $244K | $312K | $351K | $378K | $401K | $410K | $425K | $434K |
| YoY Change | +10.6% | +13.7% | +13.9% | +15.4% | +8.6% | +2.3% | +27.8% | +12.5% | +7.8% | +5.9% | +2.4% | +3.7% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $356K | $359K | $352K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $472K | $519K | $573K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$356K to $472K
28.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$352K to $573K
51.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurupa Valley | $385K | $434K | +12.7% | |
| Hemet-San Jacinto (Tract 043310) | $402K | $445K | +10.6% | |
| Hemet-San Jacinto (Tract 043513) | $400K | $440K | +10.1% | |
| Hemet-San Jacinto (Tract 043506) | $406K | $442K | +8.8% | |
| Hemet-San Jacinto (Tract 941500) | $406K | $439K | +8.3% | |
| Elsinore Valley | $397K | $422K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurupa Valley | $385K | $434K | +12.7% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside (Tract 050901) | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 040901) | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurupa Valley | $385K | $434K | $221K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045618) | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045619) | $67K | $75K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.