Riverside, CA · ZIP 92274 · Census Tract 06065045615 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$266K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$322K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$390K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +27%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Riverside markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $168K | $175K | $294K | $307K | $307K | $305K | $323K | $322K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | +3.7% | +68.6% | +4.2% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +5.9% | -0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $274K | $279K | $266K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $359K | $387K | $390K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$274K to $359K
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$266K to $390K
38.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coachella Valley · Thermal · (Tract 456.15) | $307K | $322K | +4.7% | |
| Desert Hot Springs | $307K | $360K | +17.2% | |
| Desert Hot Springs | $309K | $318K | +3.0% | |
| Perris Valley | $313K | $347K | +11.0% | |
| Valle Vista | $298K | $341K | +14.2% | |
| Banning | $316K | $352K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coachella Valley · Thermal · (Tract 456.15) | $307K | $322K | +4.7% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coachella Valley · Thermal · (Tract 456.15) | $307K | $322K | $124K | |
| Coachella Valley | $67K | $75K | $38K | |
| Coachella Valley | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.