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Riverside, CA · ZIP 92225 · Census Tract 06065047000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$357K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$377K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$526K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $132K | $128K | $114K | $119K | $131K | $197K | $260K | $297K | $296K | $336K | $357K | $363K | $376K | $377K | $348K |
| YoY Change | -3.1% | -11.5% | +4.6% | +10.5% | +50.0% | +32.0% | +14.2% | -0.2% | +13.3% | +6.3% | +1.8% | +3.5% | +0.3% | -7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $319K | $319K | $297K | $311K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $422K | $480K | $526K | $394K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$319K to $422K
28.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$311K to $394K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blythe · 92225 · (Tract 470) | $348K | $377K | +8.3% | |
| Hemet-San Jacinto | $355K | $403K | +13.7% | |
| Palm Desert | $357K | $401K | +12.6% | |
| Perris Valley | $354K | $392K | +11.0% | |
| Desert Hot Springs (Tract 044510) | $359K | $393K | +9.6% | |
| Desert Hot Springs (Tract 044520) | $355K | $367K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blythe · 92225 · (Tract 470) | $348K | $377K | +8.3% | |
| Moreno Valley | $364K | $452K | +24.0% | |
| Riverside (Tract 050901) | $671K | $823K | +22.6% | |
| Blythe | $250K | $304K | +21.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 040901) | $592K | $721K | +21.7% | |
| Jurupa Valley | $504K | $609K | +20.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blythe · 92225 · (Tract 470) | $348K | $377K | $229K | |
| Hemet | $62K | $75K | $48K | |
| Desert Edge | $66K | $75K | $45K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045618) | $52K | $57K | $39K | |
| Coachella Valley (Tract 045619) | $67K | $75K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.