Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85143 · Census Tract 04021000211 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$395K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$527K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $144K | $174K | $187K | $202K | $207K | $227K | $280K | $332K | $359K | $360K | $361K | $381K | $395K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +20.4% | +7.8% | +8.0% | +2.1% | +9.9% | +23.4% | +18.4% | +8.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +5.5% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $321K | $315K | $303K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $435K | $463K | $527K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$321K to $435K
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$303K to $527K
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley · 85143 · (Tract 2.11) | $361K | $395K | +9.2% | |
| North Pinal | $360K | $367K | +1.9% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001704) | $361K | $382K | +5.8% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001707) | $361K | $393K | +8.7% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Eloy | $356K | $385K | +8.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley · 85143 · (Tract 2.11) | $361K | $395K | +9.2% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley · 85143 · (Tract 2.11) | $361K | $395K | $224K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.