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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85122 · Census Tract 04021001310 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$341K
Downside (P10)
$274K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$361K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$451K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $190K | $214K | $270K | $299K | $341K | $341K | $348K | $354K | $361K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +25.9% | +10.8% | +14.0% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +1.9% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $296K | $287K | $274K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $396K | $433K | $451K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$296K to $396K
28.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$274K to $451K
49.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Grande · 85122 · (Tract 13.10) | $343K | $361K | +5.3% | |
| Casa Grande (Tract 001306) | $335K | $374K | +11.5% | |
| Casa Grande (Tract 001404) | $339K | $374K | +10.1% | |
| Apache Junction | $329K | $360K | +9.5% | |
| Casa Grande (Tract 001308) | $343K | $364K | +6.2% | |
| San Tan Valley | $346K | $358K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Grande · 85122 · (Tract 13.10) | $343K | $361K | +5.3% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Grande · 85122 · (Tract 13.10) | $343K | $361K | $177K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.