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Crittenden, AR · ZIP 72364 · Census Tract 05035030702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$117K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$165K
+37% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $94K | $91K | $90K | $67K | $82K | $78K | $92K | $122K | $110K | $116K | $121K | $121K | $120K | $117K | $121K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | -0.7% | -26.1% | +23.1% | -5.6% | +18.6% | +32.8% | -10.0% | +5.5% | +4.3% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -1.9% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $101K | $98K | $97K | $106K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $155K | $165K | $137K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$101K to $147K
38.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$106K to $137K
26.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper · Marion · (Tract 307.2) | $118K | $117K | -0.6% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030102) | $100K | $110K | +10.4% | |
| Near Proctor | $147K | $160K | +8.9% | |
| Mississippi | $118K | $123K | +4.2% | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030201) | $123K | $126K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper · Marion · (Tract 307.2) | $118K | $117K | -0.6% | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030803) | $193K | $223K | +15.6% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% | |
| Wappanocca area | $249K | $279K | +12.0% | |
| Mississippi | $205K | $229K | +11.6% | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030102) | $100K | $110K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper · Marion · (Tract 307.2) | $118K | $117K | $68K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030302) | $79K | $85K | $53K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030503) | $75K | $81K | $49K | |
| Black Oak area | $73K | $73K | $37K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030101) | $65K | $69K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.