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Crittenden, AR · Census Tract 05035000201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$234K
Downside (P10)
$249K
+6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$429K
+83% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from +6% to +83%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $234K | $267K | $292K | $303K | $316K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,093 | +$57,687 | +$69,306 | +$81,513 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.1% | +24.6% | +29.6% | +34.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $234K | $247K | $247K | $249K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $306K | $361K | $398K | $429K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$234K to $306K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$249K to $429K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | +34.8% | |
| Crittenden | $206K | $296K | +44.1% | |
| West Memphis | $200K | $223K | +11.4% | |
| Mississippi | $209K | $229K | +9.2% | |
| Jasper | $189K | $204K | +7.5% | |
| Wappanocca area | $260K | $279K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | +34.8% | |
| Crittenden | $206K | $296K | +44.1% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +14.9% | |
| West Memphis | $200K | $223K | +11.4% | |
| Mississippi | $209K | $229K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | $180K | |
| Black Oak area | $72K | $73K | $37K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030101) | $67K | $69K | $34K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 031200) | $50K | $51K | $33K | |
| Jasper | $121K | $121K | $32K | |
| Tyronza | $94K | $93K | $23K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Crittenden, AR · Census Tract 05035000201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$234K
Downside (P10)
$249K
+6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$429K
+83% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from +6% to +83%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $234K | $267K | $292K | $303K | $316K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,093 | +$57,687 | +$69,306 | +$81,513 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.1% | +24.6% | +29.6% | +34.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $234K | $247K | $247K | $249K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $306K | $361K | $398K | $429K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$234K to $306K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$249K to $429K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | +34.8% | |
| Crittenden | $206K | $296K | +44.1% | |
| West Memphis | $200K | $223K | +11.4% | |
| Mississippi | $209K | $229K | +9.2% | |
| Jasper | $189K | $204K | +7.5% | |
| Wappanocca area | $260K | $279K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | +34.8% | |
| Crittenden | $206K | $296K | +44.1% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +14.9% | |
| West Memphis | $200K | $223K | +11.4% | |
| Mississippi | $209K | $229K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000201 | $234K | $316K | $180K | |
| Black Oak area | $72K | $73K | $37K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030101) | $67K | $69K | $34K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 031200) | $50K | $51K | $33K | |
| Jasper | $121K | $121K | $32K | |
| Tyronza | $94K | $93K | $23K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
