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Crittenden, AR · ZIP 72301 · Census Tract 05035030201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$107K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$126K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$164K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $93K | $92K | $101K | $88K | $80K | $83K | $106K | $111K | $121K | $121K | $123K | $126K | $126K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$18,760 | -$28,860 | -$29,760 | -$20,160 | -$33,160 | -$41,360 | -$38,260 | -$15,260 | -$10,460 | -$860 | +$1,832 | +$4,417 | +$4,653 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.5% | -23.8% | -24.5% | -16.6% | -27.3% | -34.1% | -31.5% | -12.6% | -8.6% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +3.6% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $105K | $104K | $107K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $146K | $155K | $164K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$105K to $146K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$107K to $164K
45.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | +2.1% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% | |
| West Memphis | $100K | $110K | +10.4% | |
| Mississippi | $118K | $123K | +4.2% | |
| Jasper | $118K | $117K | -0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | +2.1% | |
| Crittenden (Tract 000202) | $206K | $280K | +36.4% | |
| Crittenden (Tract 000201) | $234K | $303K | +29.6% | |
| West Memphis | $193K | $223K | +15.6% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | $57K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030302) | $79K | $85K | $53K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030503) | $75K | $81K | $49K | |
| Black Oak area | $73K | $73K | $37K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030101) | $65K | $69K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Crittenden, AR · ZIP 72301 · Census Tract 05035030201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$107K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$126K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$164K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $93K | $92K | $101K | $88K | $80K | $83K | $106K | $111K | $121K | $121K | $123K | $126K | $126K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$18,760 | -$28,860 | -$29,760 | -$20,160 | -$33,160 | -$41,360 | -$38,260 | -$15,260 | -$10,460 | -$860 | +$1,832 | +$4,417 | +$4,653 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.5% | -23.8% | -24.5% | -16.6% | -27.3% | -34.1% | -31.5% | -12.6% | -8.6% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +3.6% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $105K | $104K | $107K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $146K | $155K | $164K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$105K to $146K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$107K to $164K
45.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | +2.1% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% | |
| West Memphis | $100K | $110K | +10.4% | |
| Mississippi | $118K | $123K | +4.2% | |
| Jasper | $118K | $117K | -0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | +2.1% | |
| Crittenden (Tract 000202) | $206K | $280K | +36.4% | |
| Crittenden (Tract 000201) | $234K | $303K | +29.6% | |
| West Memphis | $193K | $223K | +15.6% | |
| Bob Ward | $124K | $142K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Memphis | $123K | $126K | $57K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030302) | $79K | $85K | $53K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030503) | $75K | $81K | $49K | |
| Black Oak area | $73K | $73K | $37K | |
| West Memphis (Tract 030101) | $65K | $69K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
