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Manitowoc, WI · ZIP 54241 · Census Tract 55071005200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$166K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$226K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $117K | $114K | $111K | $114K | $119K | $117K | $121K | $150K | $160K | $159K | $166K | $166K | $167K | $168K | $166K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$49,288 | -$51,988 | -$55,388 | -$51,988 | -$47,388 | -$49,088 | -$44,988 | -$16,288 | -$6,688 | -$7,088 | -$483 | +$336 | +$1,520 | -$93 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.6% | -31.3% | -33.3% | -31.3% | -28.5% | -29.5% | -27.1% | -9.8% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $149K | $146K | $146K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $197K | $199K | $226K | $185K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$150K to $197K
28.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$146K to $185K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | +2.5% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000700) | $166K | $177K | +6.6% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000200) | $157K | $167K | +6.4% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000100) | $168K | $177K | +5.6% | |
| Manitowoc | $172K | $182K | +5.3% | |
| Two Rivers area | $159K | $163K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | +2.5% | |
| Meeme area | $248K | $280K | +12.9% | |
| Newton area | $274K | $305K | +11.2% | |
| Liberty area | $215K | $238K | +10.6% | |
| Two Rivers area | $121K | $132K | +9.3% | |
| Two Rivers | $115K | $126K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | $79K | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000800) | $146K | $150K | $87K | |
| Two Rivers | $115K | $126K | $82K | |
| Two Rivers area | $121K | $132K | $77K | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000200) | $157K | $167K | $73K | |
| Manitowoc | $104K | $111K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Manitowoc, WI · ZIP 54241 · Census Tract 55071005200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$166K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$226K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $117K | $114K | $111K | $114K | $119K | $117K | $121K | $150K | $160K | $159K | $166K | $166K | $167K | $168K | $166K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$49,288 | -$51,988 | -$55,388 | -$51,988 | -$47,388 | -$49,088 | -$44,988 | -$16,288 | -$6,688 | -$7,088 | -$483 | +$336 | +$1,520 | -$93 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.6% | -31.3% | -33.3% | -31.3% | -28.5% | -29.5% | -27.1% | -9.8% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $149K | $146K | $146K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $197K | $199K | $226K | $185K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$150K to $197K
28.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$146K to $185K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | +2.5% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000700) | $166K | $177K | +6.6% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000200) | $157K | $167K | +6.4% | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000100) | $168K | $177K | +5.6% | |
| Manitowoc | $172K | $182K | +5.3% | |
| Two Rivers area | $159K | $163K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | +2.5% | |
| Meeme area | $248K | $280K | +12.9% | |
| Newton area | $274K | $305K | +11.2% | |
| Liberty area | $215K | $238K | +10.6% | |
| Two Rivers area | $121K | $132K | +9.3% | |
| Two Rivers | $115K | $126K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Rivers area · Two Rivers · (Tract 52) | $164K | $168K | $79K | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000800) | $146K | $150K | $87K | |
| Two Rivers | $115K | $126K | $82K | |
| Two Rivers area | $121K | $132K | $77K | |
| Manitowoc area (Tract 000200) | $157K | $167K | $73K | |
| Manitowoc | $104K | $111K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.