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Thurston, WA · ZIP 98512 · Census Tract 53067010910 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$481K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$706K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $230K | $240K | $258K | $281K | $313K | $367K | $431K | $454K | $478K | $481K | $492K | $487K | $485K | $493K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | +4.4% | +7.6% | +8.9% | +11.3% | +17.5% | +17.2% | +5.4% | +5.2% | +0.8% | +2.2% | -1.1% | -0.3% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $400K | $393K | $435K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $576K | $592K | $706K | $562K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$409K to $576K
34.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$435K to $562K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumwater · Olympia · (Tract 109.10) | $477K | $485K | +1.8% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012223) | $481K | $536K | +11.5% | |
| Tumwater | $490K | $533K | +8.8% | |
| Olympia (Tract 010200) | $472K | $499K | +5.6% | |
| Olympia East | $474K | $493K | +4.1% | |
| Thurston South | $475K | $487K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumwater · Olympia · (Tract 109.10) | $477K | $485K | +1.8% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumwater · Olympia · (Tract 109.10) | $477K | $485K | $313K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.