Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Thurston, WA · ZIP 98579 · Census Tract 53067012720 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$455K
Downside (P10)
$381K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$495K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$754K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $179K | $188K | $197K | $220K | $275K | $290K | $358K | $390K | $448K | $455K | $464K | $491K | $495K |
| YoY Change | -2.2% | +5.1% | +5.1% | +11.7% | +24.9% | +5.2% | +23.6% | +8.8% | +15.1% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +5.9% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $415K | $403K | $381K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $576K | $652K | $754K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$415K to $576K
34.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$381K to $754K
75.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $455K | $495K | +8.7% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Lacey | $460K | $511K | +11.2% | |
| Olympia (Tract 010600) | $463K | $512K | +10.7% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011627) | $451K | $494K | +9.6% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011628) | $448K | $469K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $455K | $495K | +8.7% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $455K | $495K | $373K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.