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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Seattle, WA · ZIP 98104 · Census Tract 53033008102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$932K
Downside (P10)
$770K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$981K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.28M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $693K | $1.0M | $877K | $1.1M | $894K | $932K | $930K | $965K | $981K |
| YoY Change | +46.0% | -13.2% | +23.7% | -17.6% | +4.2% | -0.2% | +3.8% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $787K | $814K | $770K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$787K to $1.17M
41.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$770K to $1.28M
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneer Square · 98104 · (Tract 81.2) | $904K | $981K | +8.5% | |
| Lake City | $933K | $1.02M | +9.9% | |
| Wedgwood | $930K | $1.02M | +9.6% | |
| Central District | $936K | $992K | +6.0% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $930K | $973K | +4.7% | |
| Crown Hill | $932K | $960K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneer Square · 98104 · (Tract 81.2) | $904K | $981K | +8.5% | |
| Downtown Seattle | $908K | $1.11M | +22.2% | |
| University District | $1.20M | $1.46M | +22.0% | |
| Redmond | $1.05M | $1.28M | +21.5% | |
| Renton | $549K | $658K | +19.8% | |
| Kirkland | $1.13M | $1.35M | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneer Square · 98104 · (Tract 81.2) | $904K | $981K | $512K | |
| SeaTac | $314K | $366K | $191K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030314) | $327K | $357K | $168K | |
| Federal Way (Tract 030313) | $203K | $206K | $119K | |
| Auburn | $84K | $99K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.