What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53031950502 in Discovery Bay-Port Townsend?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $613,374 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 53031950502 in Discovery Bay-Port Townsend?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $613,374 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

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Parcel 53031950502 (Discovery Bay-Port Townsend) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 53031950502, Discovery Bay-Port Townsend Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, WA · ZIP 98368 · Census Tract 53031950502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$613K

Downside (P10)

$468K

-24% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$638K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$811K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$426K	$460K	$549K	$580K	$601K	$613K	$623K	$630K	$638K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$186,974	-$153,474	-$64,474	-$33,574	-$12,474		+$10,046	+$16,627	+$24,782
Growth % vs 2026	-30.5%	-25.0%	-10.5%	-5.5%	-2.0%		+1.6%	+2.7%	+4.0%
Downside (P10)							$487K	$484K	$468K
Upside (P90)							$721K	$730K	$811K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$487K to $721K

37.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$468K to $811K

53.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.0% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 53031950502, Discovery Bay-Port Townsend on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).