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Rockbridge, VA · ZIP 24579 · Census Tract 51163930400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$178K
Downside (P10)
$137K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $117K | $124K | $130K | $128K | $121K | $124K | $143K | $153K | $173K | $178K | $182K | $184K | $184K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,250 | -$60,950 | -$53,750 | -$47,750 | -$50,150 | -$56,650 | -$54,450 | -$34,650 | -$24,650 | -$5,450 | +$4,109 | +$6,156 | +$5,912 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -34.2% | -30.2% | -26.8% | -28.2% | -31.8% | -30.6% | -19.5% | -13.8% | -3.1% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $144K | $137K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $240K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$156K to $230K
40.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$137K to $245K
58.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | +4.3% | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | +9.3% | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | +8.7% | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | +7.3% | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | +2.6% | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | +4.3% | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | +9.3% | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | +8.7% | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | +7.3% | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | +2.6% | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | $108K | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | $266K | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | $189K | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | $158K | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | $133K | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rockbridge, VA · ZIP 24579 · Census Tract 51163930400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$178K
Downside (P10)
$137K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $117K | $124K | $130K | $128K | $121K | $124K | $143K | $153K | $173K | $178K | $182K | $184K | $184K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,250 | -$60,950 | -$53,750 | -$47,750 | -$50,150 | -$56,650 | -$54,450 | -$34,650 | -$24,650 | -$5,450 | +$4,109 | +$6,156 | +$5,912 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -34.2% | -30.2% | -26.8% | -28.2% | -31.8% | -30.6% | -19.5% | -13.8% | -3.1% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $144K | $137K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $240K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$156K to $230K
40.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$137K to $245K
58.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | +4.3% | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | +9.3% | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | +8.7% | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | +7.3% | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | +2.6% | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | +4.3% | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | +9.3% | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | +8.7% | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | +7.3% | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | +2.6% | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Bridge area | $176K | $184K | $108K | |
| Kerrs Creek | $392K | $403K | $266K | |
| Walkers Creek | $269K | $292K | $189K | |
| South River (Tract 930101) | $266K | $263K | $158K | |
| South River (Tract 930102) | $224K | $245K | $133K | |
| Kerrs Creek area | $258K | $276K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
