What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51141030102 in Smith River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $155,686 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 51141030102 in Smith River?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $155,686 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

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Parcel 51141030102 (Smith River) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 51141030102, Smith River Home Price Forecast

Patrick, VA · ZIP 24171 · Census Tract 51141030102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$156K

Downside (P10)

$130K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$161K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$249K

+60% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$120K	$117K	$129K	$153K	$153K	$156K	$157K	$160K	$161K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$35,586	-$38,886	-$26,486	-$2,886	-$2,986		+$1,373	+$3,833	+$5,782
Growth % vs 2026	-22.9%	-25.0%	-17.0%	-1.9%	-1.9%		+0.9%	+2.5%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)							$132K	$135K	$130K
Upside (P90)							$189K	$224K	$249K

Forecast Confidence

59%

Lower Confidence

The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.

Near-term band

$132K to $189K

36.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$130K to $249K

73.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 74%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 51141030102, Smith River on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).