Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Franklin, VA · ZIP 24176 · Census Tract 51067020102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$585K
Downside (P10)
$433K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$849K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $355K | $375K | $394K | $437K | $429K | $407K | $471K | $508K | $552K | $585K | $600K | $601K | $629K | $578K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$249,449 | -$229,649 | -$209,349 | -$190,849 | -$147,949 | -$155,649 | -$178,149 | -$113,749 | -$77,049 | -$33,149 | +$15,727 | +$16,682 | +$44,352 | -$7,002 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.7% | -39.3% | -35.8% | -32.6% | -25.3% | -26.6% | -30.5% | -19.5% | -13.2% | -5.7% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +7.6% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $471K | $452K | $433K | $502K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $706K | $757K | $849K | $647K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$471K to $706K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$502K to $647K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | +10.4% | |
| Boone | $273K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Gills Creek area | $429K | $453K | +5.6% | |
| Gills Creek (Tract 020302) | $418K | $438K | +4.8% | |
| Blackwater | $278K | $290K | +4.3% | |
| Gills Creek (Tract 020104) | $642K | $657K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | +10.4% | |
| Union Hall | $216K | $247K | +14.1% | |
| Blackwater | $260K | $289K | +11.1% | |
| Rocky Mount | $227K | $252K | +10.9% | |
| Blue Ridge | $185K | $205K | +10.4% | |
| Union Hall area | $112K | $122K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | $416K | |
| Blue Ridge (Tract 020701) | $164K | $163K | $101K | |
| Boone | $219K | $237K | $92K | |
| Union Hall area | $112K | $122K | $91K | |
| Rocky Mount | $167K | $180K | $85K | |
| Blue Ridge (Tract 020600) | $185K | $205K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Franklin, VA · ZIP 24176 · Census Tract 51067020102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$585K
Downside (P10)
$433K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$849K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $355K | $375K | $394K | $437K | $429K | $407K | $471K | $508K | $552K | $585K | $600K | $601K | $629K | $578K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$249,449 | -$229,649 | -$209,349 | -$190,849 | -$147,949 | -$155,649 | -$178,149 | -$113,749 | -$77,049 | -$33,149 | +$15,727 | +$16,682 | +$44,352 | -$7,002 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.7% | -39.3% | -35.8% | -32.6% | -25.3% | -26.6% | -30.5% | -19.5% | -13.2% | -5.7% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +7.6% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $471K | $452K | $433K | $502K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $706K | $757K | $849K | $647K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$471K to $706K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$502K to $647K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | +10.4% | |
| Boone | $273K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Gills Creek area | $429K | $453K | +5.6% | |
| Gills Creek (Tract 020302) | $418K | $438K | +4.8% | |
| Blackwater | $278K | $290K | +4.3% | |
| Gills Creek (Tract 020104) | $642K | $657K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | +10.4% | |
| Union Hall | $216K | $247K | +14.1% | |
| Blackwater | $260K | $289K | +11.1% | |
| Rocky Mount | $227K | $252K | +10.9% | |
| Blue Ridge | $185K | $205K | +10.4% | |
| Union Hall area | $112K | $122K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Hall | $570K | $629K | $416K | |
| Blue Ridge (Tract 020701) | $164K | $163K | $101K | |
| Boone | $219K | $237K | $92K | |
| Union Hall area | $112K | $122K | $91K | |
| Rocky Mount | $167K | $180K | $85K | |
| Blue Ridge (Tract 020600) | $185K | $205K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
