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Washington, UT · ZIP 84790 · Census Tract 49053271704 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$604K
Downside (P10)
$516K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$617K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.07M
+77% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +77%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $299K | $351K | $453K | $541K | $588K | $604K | $600K | $599K | $617K |
| YoY Change | +17.5% | +29.1% | +19.4% | +8.7% | +2.8% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $527K | $528K | $516K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $747K | $889K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$527K to $747K
36.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$516K to $1.07M
89.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George · Saint George · (Tract 2717.4) | $602K | $617K | +2.4% | |
| Enterprise area | $589K | $671K | +14.0% | |
| St. George (Tract 270804) | $628K | $668K | +6.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 270802) | $617K | $656K | +6.2% | |
| Hurricane | $597K | $617K | +3.2% | |
| Washington | $622K | $642K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George · Saint George · (Tract 2717.4) | $602K | $617K | +2.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 271502) | $540K | $617K | +14.4% | |
| Enterprise | $460K | $524K | +14.0% | |
| Enterprise area | $589K | $671K | +14.0% | |
| St. George (Tract 270501) | $769K | $874K | +13.6% | |
| St. George (Tract 271702) | $695K | $772K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George · Saint George · (Tract 2717.4) | $602K | $617K | $554K | |
| St. George (Tract 271200) | $480K | $490K | $206K | |
| St. George (Tract 271800) | $397K | $436K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271101) | $386K | $416K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271400) | $309K | $336K | $182K | |
| St. George (Tract 270701) | $275K | $303K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.