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Washington, UT · ZIP 84790 · Census Tract 49053271702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$690K
Downside (P10)
$640K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$772K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$963K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $252K | $243K | $290K | $314K | $352K | $399K | $441K | $530K | $634K | $692K | $690K | $692K | $732K | $772K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$437,873 | -$447,473 | -$400,073 | -$376,273 | -$338,373 | -$291,373 | -$249,073 | -$160,673 | -$55,973 | +$1,927 | +$1,396 | +$42,101 | +$82,077 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.4% | -64.8% | -58.0% | -54.5% | -49.0% | -42.2% | -36.1% | -23.3% | -8.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +6.1% | +11.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $621K | $608K | $640K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $838K | $880K | $963K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$621K to $838K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$640K to $963K
41.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | +11.1% | |
| St. George (Tract 271703) | $705K | $779K | +10.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 270302) | $642K | $691K | +7.6% | |
| St. George (Tract 270402) | $750K | $807K | +7.6% | |
| St. George (Tract 270804) | $628K | $668K | +6.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 270803) | $680K | $721K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | +11.1% | |
| St. George (Tract 271502) | $540K | $617K | +14.4% | |
| Enterprise | $460K | $524K | +14.0% | |
| Enterprise area (Tract 270301) | $589K | $671K | +14.0% | |
| St. George (Tract 270501) | $769K | $874K | +13.6% | |
| Enterprise area (Tract 270101) | $569K | $630K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | $323K | |
| St. George (Tract 271200) | $480K | $490K | $206K | |
| St. George (Tract 271800) | $397K | $436K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271101) | $386K | $416K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271400) | $309K | $336K | $182K | |
| St. George (Tract 270701) | $275K | $303K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, UT · ZIP 84790 · Census Tract 49053271702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$690K
Downside (P10)
$640K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$772K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$963K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $252K | $243K | $290K | $314K | $352K | $399K | $441K | $530K | $634K | $692K | $690K | $692K | $732K | $772K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$437,873 | -$447,473 | -$400,073 | -$376,273 | -$338,373 | -$291,373 | -$249,073 | -$160,673 | -$55,973 | +$1,927 | +$1,396 | +$42,101 | +$82,077 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -63.4% | -64.8% | -58.0% | -54.5% | -49.0% | -42.2% | -36.1% | -23.3% | -8.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +6.1% | +11.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $621K | $608K | $640K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $838K | $880K | $963K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$621K to $838K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$640K to $963K
41.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | +11.1% | |
| St. George (Tract 271703) | $705K | $779K | +10.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 270302) | $642K | $691K | +7.6% | |
| St. George (Tract 270402) | $750K | $807K | +7.6% | |
| St. George (Tract 270804) | $628K | $668K | +6.4% | |
| St. George (Tract 270803) | $680K | $721K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | +11.1% | |
| St. George (Tract 271502) | $540K | $617K | +14.4% | |
| Enterprise | $460K | $524K | +14.0% | |
| Enterprise area (Tract 270301) | $589K | $671K | +14.0% | |
| St. George (Tract 270501) | $769K | $874K | +13.6% | |
| Enterprise area (Tract 270101) | $569K | $630K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. George | $695K | $772K | $323K | |
| St. George (Tract 271200) | $480K | $490K | $206K | |
| St. George (Tract 271800) | $397K | $436K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271101) | $386K | $416K | $195K | |
| St. George (Tract 271400) | $309K | $336K | $182K | |
| St. George (Tract 270701) | $275K | $303K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.