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Rockwall, TX · ZIP 75087 · Census Tract 48397040406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$356K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$438K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$581K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $253K | $267K | $327K | $345K | $417K | $418K | $430K | $435K | $438K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,074 | -$151,374 | -$91,074 | -$72,774 | -$1,274 | +$12,148 | +$17,010 | +$20,551 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -36.2% | -21.8% | -17.4% | -0.3% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +4.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $365K | $356K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $507K | $523K | $581K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$374K to $507K
30.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$356K to $581K
51.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | +3.2% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | +11.7% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040103) | $433K | $482K | +11.2% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040412) | $429K | $472K | +10.1% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040409) | $387K | $421K | +8.7% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | +3.2% | |
| Rockwall | $302K | $348K | +15.3% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040407) | $465K | $530K | +14.0% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040408) | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | $225K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | $175K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | $173K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | $170K | |
| Rockwall | $281K | $304K | $157K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040410) | $260K | $285K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rockwall, TX · ZIP 75087 · Census Tract 48397040406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$356K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$438K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$581K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $253K | $267K | $327K | $345K | $417K | $418K | $430K | $435K | $438K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,074 | -$151,374 | -$91,074 | -$72,774 | -$1,274 | +$12,148 | +$17,010 | +$20,551 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -36.2% | -21.8% | -17.4% | -0.3% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +4.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $365K | $356K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $507K | $523K | $581K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$374K to $507K
30.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$356K to $581K
51.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | +3.2% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | +11.7% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040103) | $433K | $482K | +11.2% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040412) | $429K | $472K | +10.1% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040409) | $387K | $421K | +8.7% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | +3.2% | |
| Rockwall | $302K | $348K | +15.3% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040407) | $465K | $530K | +14.0% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040408) | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fate · Rockwall · (Tract 404.6) | $425K | $438K | $225K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | $175K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | $173K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | $170K | |
| Rockwall | $281K | $304K | $157K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040410) | $260K | $285K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
