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Rockwall, TX · ZIP 75189 · Census Tract 48397040408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$373K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $289K | $282K | $336K | $348K | $366K | $373K | $384K | $401K | $419K | $382K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,139 | -$90,439 | -$36,439 | -$24,739 | -$6,939 | +$10,667 | +$28,214 | +$45,827 | +$8,861 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.6% | -24.3% | -9.8% | -6.6% | -1.9% | +2.9% | +7.6% | +12.3% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $331K | $326K | $325K | $341K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $443K | $508K | $530K | $429K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$331K to $443K
29.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $429K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040409) | $387K | $421K | +8.7% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040104) | $357K | $384K | +7.5% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | +7.4% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Rockwall (Tract 040304) | $302K | $348K | +15.3% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040407) | $465K | $530K | +14.0% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% | |
| Rockwall (Tract 040512) | $325K | $369K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | $206K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | $175K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | $173K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | $170K | |
| Rockwall | $281K | $304K | $157K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040410) | $260K | $285K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rockwall, TX · ZIP 75189 · Census Tract 48397040408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$373K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $289K | $282K | $336K | $348K | $366K | $373K | $384K | $401K | $419K | $382K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,139 | -$90,439 | -$36,439 | -$24,739 | -$6,939 | +$10,667 | +$28,214 | +$45,827 | +$8,861 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.6% | -24.3% | -9.8% | -6.6% | -1.9% | +2.9% | +7.6% | +12.3% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $331K | $326K | $325K | $341K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $443K | $508K | $530K | $429K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$331K to $443K
29.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$341K to $429K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040409) | $387K | $421K | +8.7% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040104) | $357K | $384K | +7.5% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | +7.4% | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Rockwall (Tract 040304) | $302K | $348K | +15.3% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040407) | $465K | $530K | +14.0% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% | |
| Rockwall (Tract 040512) | $325K | $369K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Rockwall | $367K | $419K | $206K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | $175K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | $173K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | $170K | |
| Rockwall | $281K | $304K | $157K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040410) | $260K | $285K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
