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Randall, TX · ZIP 79015 · Census Tract 48381021900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$401K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$424K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$564K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $211K | $210K | $223K | $236K | $239K | $264K | $292K | $348K | $360K | $378K | $401K | $411K | $421K | $424K |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | +6.4% | +5.6% | +1.5% | +10.4% | +10.4% | +19.4% | +3.4% | +4.9% | +6.1% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $332K | $328K | $322K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $482K | $522K | $564K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$332K to $482K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$322K to $564K
57.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canyon · 79015 · (Tract 219) | $391K | $424K | +8.5% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021609) | $461K | $516K | +12.1% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021604) | $355K | $387K | +9.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021708) | $437K | $475K | +8.7% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021702) | $324K | $345K | +6.3% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021707) | $411K | $415K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canyon · 79015 · (Tract 219) | $391K | $424K | +8.5% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021610) | $286K | $347K | +21.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021300) | $209K | $247K | +18.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021603) | $224K | $256K | +14.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020600) | $152K | $172K | +13.5% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021101) | $200K | $225K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canyon · 79015 · (Tract 219) | $391K | $424K | $242K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020800) | $160K | $167K | $94K | |
| Canyon | $171K | $189K | $93K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020900) | $116K | $124K | $69K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020500) | $114K | $127K | $61K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021705) | $85K | $95K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.