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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Randall, TX · ZIP 79109 · Census Tract 48381021101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$181K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $129K | $134K | $141K | $149K | $156K | $157K | $191K | $196K | $195K | $205K | $214K | $215K | $225K |
| YoY Change | +2.1% | +3.9% | +4.8% | +5.8% | +4.8% | +0.5% | +21.9% | +2.4% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +4.4% | +0.6% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $186K | $188K | $181K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $252K | $274K | $281K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$186K to $252K
30.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$181K to $281K
44.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo | $200K | $225K | +12.6% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021300) | $209K | $247K | +18.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021706) | $215K | $239K | +11.1% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 022002) | $207K | $223K | +7.7% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020200) | $209K | $215K | +3.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021500) | $220K | $212K | -3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo | $200K | $225K | +12.6% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021610) | $286K | $347K | +21.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021300) | $209K | $247K | +18.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021603) | $224K | $256K | +14.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020600) | $152K | $172K | +13.5% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021609) | $461K | $516K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo | $200K | $225K | $100K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020800) | $160K | $167K | $94K | |
| Canyon | $171K | $189K | $93K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020900) | $116K | $124K | $69K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 020500) | $114K | $127K | $61K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 021705) | $85K | $95K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.