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Nueces, TX · ZIP 78373 · Census Tract 48355006205 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$315K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$379K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$507K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $575K | $616K | $806K | $353K | $360K | $373K | $384K | $379K |
| YoY Change | +7.2% | +30.8% | -56.3% | +2.0% | +3.8% | +2.9% | -1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $322K | $315K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $448K | $507K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$318K to $424K
28.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$315K to $507K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Aransas | $356K | $379K | +6.7% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 006203) | $368K | $397K | +8.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003304) | $346K | $346K | +0.1% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002500) | $345K | $363K | +5.2% | |
| Corpus Christi West | $324K | $355K | +9.6% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 005416) | $399K | $431K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Aransas | $356K | $379K | +6.7% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003500) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Aransas | $356K | $379K | $192K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.