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Nueces, TX · ZIP 78409 · Census Tract 48355003500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$190K
Downside (P10)
$150K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $90K | $109K | $107K | $108K | $114K | $120K | $148K | $160K | $182K | $190K | $189K | $203K | $218K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,250 | -$100,850 | -$81,850 | -$83,150 | -$82,850 | -$76,550 | -$70,150 | -$42,450 | -$30,450 | -$8,450 | -$1,493 | +$12,120 | +$27,463 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.8% | -53.0% | -43.0% | -43.7% | -43.5% | -40.2% | -36.8% | -22.3% | -16.0% | -4.4% | -0.8% | +6.4% | +14.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $154K | $150K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $234K | $242K | $257K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$160K to $234K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$150K to $257K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002303) | $186K | $211K | +13.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002707) | $199K | $221K | +11.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002101) | $189K | $203K | +7.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003401) | $183K | $193K | +5.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001906) | $190K | $196K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 006204) | $499K | $574K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | $107K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nueces, TX · ZIP 78409 · Census Tract 48355003500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$190K
Downside (P10)
$150K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $90K | $109K | $107K | $108K | $114K | $120K | $148K | $160K | $182K | $190K | $189K | $203K | $218K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,250 | -$100,850 | -$81,850 | -$83,150 | -$82,850 | -$76,550 | -$70,150 | -$42,450 | -$30,450 | -$8,450 | -$1,493 | +$12,120 | +$27,463 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.8% | -53.0% | -43.0% | -43.7% | -43.5% | -40.2% | -36.8% | -22.3% | -16.0% | -4.4% | -0.8% | +6.4% | +14.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $154K | $150K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $234K | $242K | $257K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$160K to $234K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$150K to $257K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002303) | $186K | $211K | +13.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002707) | $199K | $221K | +11.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002101) | $189K | $203K | +7.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003401) | $183K | $193K | +5.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001906) | $190K | $196K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 006204) | $499K | $574K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi · 78409 · (Tract 35) | $183K | $218K | $107K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
