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Guadalupe, TX · ZIP 78154 · Census Tract 48187210709 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$324K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$346K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$460K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $194K | $193K | $200K | $210K | $220K | $234K | $276K | $294K | $309K | $324K | $334K | $343K | $346K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$136,453 | -$130,553 | -$131,253 | -$124,753 | -$114,053 | -$104,053 | -$90,553 | -$48,853 | -$30,353 | -$15,353 | +$9,610 | +$18,732 | +$21,640 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.1% | -40.2% | -40.5% | -38.5% | -35.2% | -32.1% | -27.9% | -15.1% | -9.4% | -4.7% | +3.0% | +5.8% | +6.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $277K | $273K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $393K | $426K | $460K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$288K to $393K
31.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$273K to $460K
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | +8.8% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo | $315K | $344K | +9.1% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210509) | $326K | $353K | +8.4% | |
| Southwest Guadalupe | $321K | $343K | +7.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210805) | $315K | $333K | +5.7% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210512) | $329K | $348K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | +8.8% | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210713) | $361K | $412K | +14.3% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210400) | $293K | $333K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | $187K | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | $98K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210806) | $173K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | $89K | |
| Northeast Guadalupe | $119K | $125K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Guadalupe, TX · ZIP 78154 · Census Tract 48187210709 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$324K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$346K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$460K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $194K | $193K | $200K | $210K | $220K | $234K | $276K | $294K | $309K | $324K | $334K | $343K | $346K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$136,453 | -$130,553 | -$131,253 | -$124,753 | -$114,053 | -$104,053 | -$90,553 | -$48,853 | -$30,353 | -$15,353 | +$9,610 | +$18,732 | +$21,640 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.1% | -40.2% | -40.5% | -38.5% | -35.2% | -32.1% | -27.9% | -15.1% | -9.4% | -4.7% | +3.0% | +5.8% | +6.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $277K | $273K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $393K | $426K | $460K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$288K to $393K
31.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$273K to $460K
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | +8.8% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo | $315K | $344K | +9.1% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210509) | $326K | $353K | +8.4% | |
| Southwest Guadalupe | $321K | $343K | +7.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210805) | $315K | $333K | +5.7% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210512) | $329K | $348K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | +8.8% | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210713) | $361K | $412K | +14.3% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210400) | $293K | $333K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schertz · 78154 · (Tract 2107.9) | $318K | $346K | $187K | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | $98K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210806) | $173K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | $89K | |
| Northeast Guadalupe | $119K | $125K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
