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Guadalupe, TX · ZIP 78155 · Census Tract 48187210806 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$193K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$248K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $149K | $148K | $141K | $158K | $167K | $176K | $186K | $189K | $193K |
| YoY Change | -0.9% | -4.7% | +12.2% | +5.8% | +5.4% | +5.7% | +1.4% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $159K | $153K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $206K | $232K | $248K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $206K
25.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$153K to $248K
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seguin | $173K | $193K | +12.1% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz (Tract 210706) | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | +9.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210100) | $217K | $239K | +10.0% | |
| Schertz (Tract 210705) | $222K | $239K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seguin | $173K | $193K | +12.1% | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210713) | $361K | $412K | +14.3% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210400) | $293K | $333K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seguin | $173K | $193K | $95K | |
| Northeast Guadalupe | $119K | $125K | $61K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | $89K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | $95K | |
| Schertz (Tract 210706) | $163K | $187K | $98K | |
| Schertz (Tract 210705) | $222K | $239K | $125K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.