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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ector, TX · ZIP 79758 · Census Tract 48135003002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$376K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$421K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$510K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $336K | $384K | $376K | $388K | $364K | $376K | $386K | $408K | $421K |
| YoY Change | +14.5% | -2.1% | +3.0% | -6.0% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +5.7% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $301K | $307K | $312K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $444K | $466K | $510K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$301K to $444K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $510K
46.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odessa · Gardendale · (Tract 30.2) | $369K | $421K | +14.2% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003003) | $343K | $402K | +17.5% | |
| Odessa (Tract 002400) | $293K | $329K | +12.5% | |
| Odessa (Tract 002900) | $351K | $392K | +11.7% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003001) | $364K | $402K | +10.3% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003004) | $373K | $403K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odessa · Gardendale · (Tract 30.2) | $369K | $421K | +14.2% | |
| Odessa (Tract 002503) | $261K | $327K | +24.9% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001100) | $153K | $184K | +20.1% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | +19.5% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003003) | $343K | $402K | +17.5% | |
| West Odessa | $154K | $178K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odessa · Gardendale · (Tract 30.2) | $369K | $421K | $197K | |
| West Odessa-Goldsmith | $114K | $120K | $60K | |
| Odessa (Tract 000700) | $114K | $122K | $57K | |
| Odessa (Tract 002000) | $70K | $80K | $54K | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | $46K | |
| West Odessa | $63K | $67K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.