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Brazos, TX · ZIP 77845 · Census Tract 48041001803 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$382K
Downside (P10)
$329K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$421K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$553K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $216K | $216K | $231K | $240K | $243K | $240K | $260K | $325K | $351K | $373K | $382K | $396K | $409K | $421K |
| YoY Change | +0.2% | +7.1% | +3.8% | +1.2% | -1.3% | +8.4% | +24.8% | +8.2% | +6.3% | +2.3% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $335K | $323K | $329K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $471K | $507K | $553K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$335K to $471K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$329K to $553K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Station | $380K | $421K | +10.8% | |
| West Brazos | $382K | $410K | +7.3% | |
| College Station (Tract 002001) | $373K | $399K | +7.1% | |
| College Station (Tract 001608) | $395K | $421K | +6.4% | |
| Northeast Brazos (Tract 000107) | $380K | $395K | +3.9% | |
| Northeast Brazos (Tract 000105) | $370K | $379K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Station | $380K | $421K | +10.8% | |
| Bryan | $235K | $278K | +18.5% | |
| College Station (Tract 002018) | $309K | $363K | +17.2% | |
| College Station (Tract 002026) | $435K | $503K | +15.7% | |
| West Brazos | $270K | $311K | +15.2% | |
| South Brazos | $285K | $326K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Station | $380K | $421K | $224K | |
| Bryan (Tract 000606) | $123K | $129K | $82K | |
| Bryan (Tract 000900) | $114K | $124K | $68K | |
| Bryan (Tract 000501) | $116K | $126K | $60K | |
| Bryan (Tract 000603) | $124K | $134K | $56K | |
| Bryan (Tract 000502) | $72K | $73K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.