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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Austin, TX · ZIP 78652 · Census Tract 48453033200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$427K
Downside (P10)
$372K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$468K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$627K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $271K | $285K | $357K | $390K | $426K | $427K | $443K | $458K | $468K |
| YoY Change | +5.5% | +25.0% | +9.4% | +9.3% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +3.5% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $377K | $364K | $372K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $512K | $556K | $627K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$377K to $512K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$372K to $627K
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin · Manchaca · (Tract 332) | $428K | $468K | +9.4% | |
| Austin (Tract 002409) | $428K | $475K | +11.1% | |
| Wells Branch | $425K | $472K | +10.9% | |
| Austin (Tract 002321) | $425K | $464K | +9.2% | |
| Austin (Tract 002444) | $429K | $464K | +8.2% | |
| Austin (Tract 001311) | $425K | $460K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin · Manchaca · (Tract 332) | $428K | $468K | +9.4% | |
| Austin (Tract 041600) | $410K | $501K | +22.2% | |
| Austin (Tract 002448) | $333K | $406K | +22.1% | |
| Northeast Travis | $526K | $638K | +21.3% | |
| Northwest Travis | $894K | $1.08M | +20.4% | |
| Austin (Tract 002442) | $425K | $510K | +20.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin · Manchaca · (Tract 332) | $428K | $468K | $256K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 045800) | $239K | $256K | $121K | |
| Northwest Travis | $160K | $170K | $116K | |
| Austin (Tract 002327) | $170K | $179K | $106K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 044800) | $118K | $135K | $68K | |
| Austin (Tract 002430) | $67K | $73K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.