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Minnehaha, SD · ZIP 57110 · Census Tract 46099010401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$514K
Downside (P10)
$404K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$553K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$725K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $341K | $364K | $388K | $373K | $371K | $375K | $404K | $473K | $519K | $515K | $514K | $531K | $534K | $553K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$172,878 | -$150,278 | -$126,578 | -$140,878 | -$143,078 | -$138,978 | -$110,478 | -$40,878 | +$4,522 | +$922 | +$17,209 | +$19,664 | +$39,028 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.6% | -29.2% | -24.6% | -27.4% | -27.8% | -27.0% | -21.5% | -8.0% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $414K | $404K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $623K | $677K | $725K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$429K to $623K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$404K to $725K
58.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | +7.4% | |
| Split Rock area | $501K | $565K | +12.8% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001902) | $442K | $496K | +12.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001111) | $443K | $493K | +11.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001112) | $404K | $442K | +9.2% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000701) | $571K | $617K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | +7.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001804) | $292K | $344K | +18.0% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001805) | $385K | $443K | +15.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001600) | $348K | $400K | +14.9% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000500) | $175K | $201K | +14.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001901) | $360K | $410K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | $322K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000900) | $180K | $194K | $103K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000100) | $183K | $194K | $96K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000300) | $147K | $162K | $93K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001002) | $121K | $135K | $61K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001001) | $96K | $104K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Minnehaha, SD · ZIP 57110 · Census Tract 46099010401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$514K
Downside (P10)
$404K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$553K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$725K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $341K | $364K | $388K | $373K | $371K | $375K | $404K | $473K | $519K | $515K | $514K | $531K | $534K | $553K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$172,878 | -$150,278 | -$126,578 | -$140,878 | -$143,078 | -$138,978 | -$110,478 | -$40,878 | +$4,522 | +$922 | +$17,209 | +$19,664 | +$39,028 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.6% | -29.2% | -24.6% | -27.4% | -27.8% | -27.0% | -21.5% | -8.0% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $414K | $404K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $623K | $677K | $725K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$429K to $623K
36.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$404K to $725K
58.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | +7.4% | |
| Split Rock area | $501K | $565K | +12.8% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001902) | $442K | $496K | +12.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001111) | $443K | $493K | +11.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001112) | $404K | $442K | +9.2% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000701) | $571K | $617K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | +7.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001804) | $292K | $344K | +18.0% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001805) | $385K | $443K | +15.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001600) | $348K | $400K | +14.9% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000500) | $175K | $201K | +14.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001901) | $360K | $410K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split Rock area | $515K | $553K | $322K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000900) | $180K | $194K | $103K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000100) | $183K | $194K | $96K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000300) | $147K | $162K | $93K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001002) | $121K | $135K | $61K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001001) | $96K | $104K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
